Optimissm wrote:I hope it is the opposite of what Eric wrote. Here's why:
* That system guarantees some people will pay less than the highest tier they are capable of paying. Isn't that going against the tier system? Aren't we all supposed to pay as much as we are able?
* It also gives the people who can only afford the lowest tier the worst chance of getting tickets.
I hope the organizers will do a lottery for everyone who chose $390 as their top tier. Get those out of the way. Then do one for everyone left at $390 plus those who could only go up to $320 and award the $320 tickets. Finally, do a lottery with all the remaining people for the $240 tickets.
Good luck to everyone!
(P.S. I say this knowing that I'm going in at up to $390 and this gives me the worst chance at a lower tier. That's o.k. with me.)
stretch80 wrote:Optimissm wrote:I hope it is the opposite of what Eric wrote. Here's why:
* That system guarantees some people will pay less than the highest tier they are capable of paying. Isn't that going against the tier system? Aren't we all supposed to pay as much as we are able?
* It also gives the people who can only afford the lowest tier the worst chance of getting tickets.
I hope the organizers will do a lottery for everyone who chose $390 as their top tier. Get those out of the way. Then do one for everyone left at $390 plus those who could only go up to $320 and award the $320 tickets. Finally, do a lottery with all the remaining people for the $240 tickets.
Good luck to everyone!
(P.S. I say this knowing that I'm going in at up to $390 and this gives me the worst chance at a lower tier. That's o.k. with me.)
By definition, if you can only afford the lowest tier, you are at a disadvantage. You can afford, what you can. Either you get a ticket this year, or save the money from this year and add some more for the next. $25 per week into a savings account will give you $1300 to play with (that is $3.58 per day).
My understanding is that all of the people who entered only the tier 1 draw will be drawn. If any tickets are left over, the remainder are drawn from higher tier entries. Once all of tier 1 have sold out. The tier 2 draw starts with the tier 2 entries, if any tickets are left then the remainder are drawn from higher entries. Once tier 2 is sold out, the same is done for tier three. This draw method is less fair if there are more people than tickets.
Savannah wrote:It sounds freaky & wrong, so you need to do it.
- During the registration process you will need to select the highest price you are willing to pay for tickets. This may include you in draws for lower tier tickets, and you may be awarded tickets at the price you selected or at a lower tier.
- On or before February 1, a random selection will be conducted to award 40,000 tickets comprised of the following ticket types:
- Tier 1 $240: 10,000 tickets
- Tier 2 $320: 15,000 tickets
- Tier 3 $390: 15,000 tickets
theCryptofishist wrote:We can't guess the odds, because we don't know how many people are registering and for which tiers they are registering for.
I think.
Let x be the # of people in for 1st tier and only first tier, y is 2nd tier and not third tier, and z equal those in 3rd tier.
So x + y + z = total number of tickets registered for.
Odds on first tier is ( x + y + z)/10,000, odds on second is [y + z - (number of 1st tier tickets won by people who also registered by people registered for 2nd and 3rd tier)]/10,000...
and so on
My algebra skills are rusty and were always more pencil on paper than computers (I'm old). The problem is that you are trying to find a variable (odds) that is defined by other variables (number of people registered for each tier). I don't think you can do that easily. Who knows, maybe there's another kind of math that might work.
I doubt it, though. you might be able to do a series of equations reflecting different possibilities.
trilobyte wrote:Let me clarify and correct what I've said in the past regarding the order of the lottery drawing by saying that the information is nebulous on purpose. The BMOrg's goal is to make sure that as many people get tickets as possible.
Mofessor wrote:if the goal was to ensure that as many people as possible could attend, it seems that it would have been better to...
stretch80 wrote:Optimissm wrote:My understanding is that all of the people who entered only the tier 1 draw will be drawn. If any tickets are left over, the remainder are drawn from higher tier entries. Once all of tier 1 have sold out. The tier 2 draw starts with the tier 2 entries, if any tickets are left then the remainder are drawn from higher entries. Once tier 2 is sold out, the same is done for tier three. This draw method is less fair if there are more people than tickets.
burntjburn wrote:stretch80 wrote:Optimissm wrote:My understanding is that all of the people who entered only the tier 1 draw will be drawn. If any tickets are left over, the remainder are drawn from higher tier entries. Once all of tier 1 have sold out. The tier 2 draw starts with the tier 2 entries, if any tickets are left then the remainder are drawn from higher entries. Once tier 2 is sold out, the same is done for tier three. This draw method is less fair if there are more people than tickets.
I don't know how the draw will be done, but what you've written makes sense to me.
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